EUR/USD — Resistance Test

Price reached 1.0850 zone. Weekly resistance confirmed three times since March.

Key levels:

• Resistance: 1.0850 - 1.0880
• Support: 1.0750 - 1.0780
• Invalidation: Break above 1.0900

Setup: Wait for rejection confirmation. 4H close below 1.0820 triggers short bias.

Risk: 40 pips. Target: 1.0750 (100 pips). R:R = 1:2.5.

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US30 — Consolidation Phase

Index trapped between 38,400 and 38,700. Volume declining.

Bias: Neutral until breakout confirmed.

Watch for:

• Break above 38,700 → continuation long
• Break below 38,400 → reversal short

Wait for close outside range plus retest before entry.

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GBP/USD — Setup Forming

Price consolidating at 1.2600. Previous swing high at 1.2680 acting as magnet.

Scenario 1: Break and hold above 1.2650 → long to 1.2680 Scenario 2: Rejection from 1.2650 → short to 1.2550

No entry yet. Waiting for confirmation.

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Summary

Three setups in focus. EUR/USD shows strongest setup. US30 requires patience. GBP/USD developing.

Risk remains constant at 1% per trade. No exceptions.

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Analysis reflects market conditions as of May 12, 2025. Markets change. Plans adapt.